US futures muted as markets await data after federal government reopening

The White House said employment and Consumer Price Indexes reports for October might never be released. (Envato Elements pic)

NEW YORK: Wall Street futures were subdued on Thursday as investors awaited indications on the US economy and the monetary policy path after President Donald Trump signed a bill ending the longest government shutdown in the country’s history.

Markets will closely monitor the flow of official data, as its prolonged absence left both the Federal Reserve and traders guessing on the economic health and reliant on alternative sources.

Still, some data gaps are likely to be permanent, with the White House saying employment and Consumer Price Indexes reports for October might never be released.

Philip Marey, senior US strategist at Rabobank, said the commencing of the shutdown in October, and inadequate time in November could compromise data collection quality, potentially making both reports unreliable.

“The FOMC will have to rely on other data more than they are used to and on their prior beliefs. If the latter are reflected in the bimodal September dot plot, we could be looking at a big fight between hawks and doves in December.”

At 07:06 am ET, Dow E-minis were down 60 points, or 0.12%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 14.25 points, or 0.21% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 64.5 points, or 0.25%.

Data from private firms in recent weeks have raised concerns about a weakening US job market.

US employers shed more than 11,000 jobs a week through late October, according to payroll processor ADP. Separate data from Indeed Hiring Lab showed retail-related job postings dropped 16% in October compared to last year.

Traders are currently pricing in an about 54% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December, lower than last week’s 70%, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

Several Fed speakers, including voting regional presidents, have expressed scepticism over another interest rate cut in December, prompting investors to scale back bets.

A bright spot, Cisco Systems’ shares rose 7.1% in premarket trading after the company raised full-year profit and revenue forecasts betting on demand for its networking equipment amid a data center expansion fueled by artificial intelligence.

Technology and AI names have come under pressure lately, with the Nasdaq falling in the past two sessions, as investors rotated out of pricey tech stocks into traditionally defensive areas such as healthcare and consumer staples.

The Dow has benefited from the rotation, notching back-to-back record highs after lagging the S&P and the Nasdaq this year.

Nvidia was down 0.8% before the bell, while Alphabet and Microsoft were off 0.6% and 0.3% respectively.

AI bellwether Nvidia’s earnings next week could further test the optimism around the technology which has driven markets to record highs this year, but come under more scrutiny in recent weeks.

Walt Disney was down 3.4%. The media giant said it would boost its dividend by 50% and double its share buyback plan for fiscal 2026.

JD.com shares gained 1.1% as the e-commerce giant topped market estimates for quarterly revenue.

Among other moves, shares of memory chipmaker Micron Technology fell 0.7% after results from Japan’s Kioxia Holdings.

Memory device makers Western Digital and Sandisk dropped 3.5% each.

5 thoughts on “US futures muted as markets await data after federal government reopening”

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